Studying the covid-19 statistics

Tuesday 14 April 2020

More detailed data analysis has been released about how corona virus is spreading in Guernsey, with a fairly even spread between known sources now clusters have been identified among people who have travelled, and those living and working in island care homes.

The Public Health Team have been working around the clock throughout the Bank Holiday Weekend, to continue testing possible patients, and to contact trace where they caught it from, and who they might have also give it too.

All of the data they gather is then studied so an accurate picture can be created about how the virus is spreading so measures can be put in place to 'flatten the curve'.

Another bank holiday, another day the #GsyPublicHealth team are in trying to #FlattenTheCuve with testing, isolation and contact tracing. Simple concepts but hard work. @DrNicolaBrink

— Andrew Bell (@Gsy_Bell) April 13, 2020

Of the latest cases to be tested positive for covid-19, around 10 are now in hospital but none are believed to be in ICU or needing ventilators. 

Just over half of all those who have tested positive for the virus are men at 52%, with an average age overall of 56 for a person testing positive. The average age for male patients is 57 and 54 for female.

While the care homes are widely struck by covid-19 at the moment, giving a larger number of older patients, the age of infection has been varied from at least three infants under the age one one, to people over 90-years-old.

Pictured: Some of the data gathered by Public Health so far.

Combined, the island's care homes are accounting for one-third of all covid-19 infections, with 18% occurring in residents and 20% in staff.

21% of all people in the Bailiwick known to have the virus have brought it back with them after travelling overseas including to Jersey, the UK, France, Tenerife, Mainland Spain, Germany, Austria and Switzerland.

Contact tracing has identified a further 30% of patients, while 12% of all those who have contracted the virus have caught it from an 'unknown source'.

Pictured: The rise in case numbers show contact tracing is now the fastest rising source of newly identified patients.

The latest patient numbers can be found at gov.gg/coronavirus.

The number of fatalities has remained at six, with three presumptive deaths. All are believed to be in patients older than 80.

53 people are now declared 'recovered' from covid-19 in Guernsey.

Public Health said: "We are defining recovery as having no virus detectable on their nose/throat swab on Day 14.

"53 people with proven covid-19 have been confirmed to have recovered from covid-19 and have no virus detectable on their nose/throat swab."